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US Non-Farm Payrolls: data is a mess

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 18:39 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 11,081 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

December payrolls rose 103,00, well below the consensus, 150 000 and my initial ‘guesstimate of 160,000, and far short of the 297,000 ADP number. The net revision was +70,000, though. Unemployment fell unexpectedly to 9.4% from 9.8%, and hourly earni...... (Continue reading)

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Dollar swings after non farm payrolls data

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 16:28 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 212 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

The US dollar fluctuated after the release of jobs report which showed improvement for the third month in December. The report revealed that non-farm payrolls soared by 103,000 last month compared with the revised increase of 71,000 in November, yet... (Continue reading)

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Dovish Bernanke underpins bond market gains

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 15:44 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 242 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

The highly-anticipated employment report is having relatively little impact on the market at the end of a volatile week. New Year optimism was boosted by ever-strengthening domestic economic data and crowned by December’s ADP report read by many as a...... (Continue reading)

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USD Weaker After Disappointing Non-Farm Payroll Report

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 15:18 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 247 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

Summary: US non-farm payrolls came in lower than expected at 107K jobs gained, though the unemployment rate did decline to 9.4%. The mixed report gave the market some indecision, but overall the tone was a weaker USD, with commodities recovering... (Continue reading)

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The report was better than it first appears

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 14:36 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 186 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

In The News The U.S. dollar dropped after a disappointing and confusing report on non-farm payrolls. The U.S. added just 103K jobs in December compared to the 150K ‘consensus’ and market expectations that were around 200K. The bright spot was... (Continue reading)

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Anti-euro mood is strong and on real

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 13:35 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 237 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

Outlook Today we get payrolls and the next three hours, like the last 18, will be dominated by it. We always advise that smaller traders do nothing on this one day of the month—it almost always delivers a surprise and... (Continue reading)

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US Nonfarm Payrolls out this afternoon

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 12:30 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 179 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

Sterling seems to be playing the proverbial tortoise to the euro’s hare this week, even after the disappointing Purchasing Manager Index of yesterday, which saw the figure drop to 49.7 from 53.0, the rate continued to creep up. As expected... (Continue reading)

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Non Farm Payroll Expectations Likely to induce High Volatility

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 10:41 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 246 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

Heading into today’s key employment release the market is primed for excessive volatility due to general optimism from market participants. Wednesday’s ADP number showed the U.S economy added 297k private sector jobs last month, and despite a sligh...... (Continue reading)

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Yesterday might not have felt momentous but believe me it was

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 10:26 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 255 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

FX Market Overview Yesterday might not have felt momentous but believe me it was. You perhaps missed the Euro- US Dollar exchange rate falling through major support; perhaps you were absorbed by the trifling matter of England winning the Ashes... (Continue reading)

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Spread widening may weigh on CEE currencies

Written on 7 Jan, 2011 at 9:49 in Fundamental Market View | viewed 207 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

Headlines Currencies: Spread widening may weigh on CEE currencies Fixed Income: Czech industrial output surprises on the upside Czech Republic The Czech koruna has completely reversed losses posted during the Christmas holidays . The EUR/CZK currency p...... (Continue reading)

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